**Flood Situation Report for Malaysia (13 July 2026, 03:15 MYT)**

**1. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY**

This report provides an analysis of the current flood risk situation across Malaysia, utilizing real-time data from various sources. The Moderate Southwest Monsoon season is ongoing, with localized heavy downpours expected in highland areas. Our analysis indicates a moderate flood risk across 132 districts, with the highest-risk areas concentrated in Kelantan, Perlis, and Pahang. No districts are currently classified as High or Critical risk.

**2. HIGHEST RISK AREAS**

The top 5 highest-risk districts are:

1. Padang Besar, Perlis (43.7% risk, Moderate) - RF: 72%, LSTM: 35%, XGB: 54%
2. Kota Bharu City Centre, Kelantan (36.0% risk, Moderate) - RF: 13%, LSTM: 36%, XGB: 10%
3. Wakaf Bharu, Kelantan (36.0% risk, Moderate) - RF: 12%, LSTM: 36%, XGB: 11%
4. Kubang Kerian, Kelantan (36.0% risk, Moderate) - RF: 12%, LSTM: 36%, XGB: 18%
5. Pengkalan Chepa, Kelantan (36.0% risk, Moderate) - RF: 11%, LSTM: 37%, XGB: 11%

**3. SATELLITE ANALYSIS (reference Copernicus CDSE / Sentinel-2)**

Satellite data from Sentinel-2 indicates a water pixel coverage of 17.2% across 428 features detected using the Spectral Flood Index (NDWI/MNDWI threshold). This suggests a moderate level of flooding, consistent with the model's risk distribution.

**4. WEATHER & HYDROLOGICAL ANALYSIS**

Current weather conditions are characterized by moderate rainfall, with an average 7-day rainfall of 0.0 mm across all districts. Official warnings from MetMalaysia include Third Category warnings for Strong Winds and Rough Seas in Melaka and Sabah.

**5. SEASONAL & MONSOON CONTEXT**

The Southwest Monsoon season is ongoing, with localized heavy downpours expected in highland areas. West Coast states, including Perak, Selangor, and Kedah, are more susceptible to flooding during this period.

**6. 3-DAY OUTLOOK**

The 3-day CNN-LSTM forecast indicates no districts predicted High or Critical risk for the next 3 days (D+1 to D+3).

**7. RECOMMENDATIONS FOR AUTHORITIES**

Based on the analysis, we recommend:

* Close monitoring of flood-prone areas, particularly in Kelantan, Perlis, and Pahang
* Preparation for potential flooding in highland areas
* Coordination with MetMalaysia for weather updates and warnings
* Collaboration with JPS/DID and APM for flood mitigation and response efforts

— HydroSight Automated Flood Intelligence System